SNB May Hold Rate as Surging Franc Threatens Recovery
17th September 2010
The franc has strengthened about 6.2 percent against the euro since June 17.
The Swiss central bank today may keep borrowing costs on hold as the franc's surge prevents policy makers from raising rates to fight inflation threats.
The Swiss National Bank, led by Philipp Hildebrand, will leave the three-month Libor target rate at 0.25 percent, according to 18 of 19 economists in a Bloomberg News survey. UBS AG is the only bank forecasting an increase to 0.5 percent. The central bank will publish its decision at 2 p.m. in Zurich.
SNB policy makers are weighing the risks of faster inflation against the danger that a stronger franc will undermine exports and hurt an economic recovery. Investors have snapped up the Swiss currency and other securities seen as havens on concern that the global recovery is losing steam. Japan intervened yesterday for the first time since 2004 to weaken the yen and protect the country's recovery.
"It is the potential for a further substantial appreciation in the franc combined with a more severe global slowdown that is holding the SNB back for now," said Dirk Schumacher, an economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc. in Frankfurt. "We continue to expect the first hike in December."
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