It seems the newly-built apartments currently available on the Budapest market will be sold by the end of 2010. This means there will be an evident shortage on the market in 2011, which will produce a 15-20% price increase, according to Elephant Holding and OTP Bank's Property Leasing experts.
10-12,000 new apartments were built and sold in Budapest every year in the period before 2008. By 2010 this number has dropped to a mere quarter of the previous amount. According to local developers, the currently available supply will run out by the end of this year and a definite shortage will be felt, claims Zoltan Zelei, Sales Director of Elephant Holding.
Market professionals emphasize that only about half as many building permits were issued over the past two years, as before; the number of handovers after successful completion, has also been reduced. In a European capital city like Budapest, which is the largest commuter hub of the region, attracting over 3 million people, there is a healthy demand for 15-20,000 newly-built units in order to keep the apartment stock refreshed.
Since there was no bubble on the residential market in Budapest, as witnessed in Western Europe and North America; square meter prices remained around 1100-2200 EUR, as opposed to the 3700-7400 EUR peaks in large European cities, or 1800-3300 EUR in Eastern Europe. This is another reason why a natural market correction is expected in 2011.
District 5
We continue our discussion of the primary investment segments of the city, beginning with District 5 of Budapest. Click here for a detailed map. (Google)
This is the prime commercial hub of the city, the most expensive are of Pest, the down town. Also referred to as Belvaros, that is Inner City, it is a fairly large area, containing the posh Bank District and expensive Government District, along the grand and beautiful Danube River. Exclusive hotels, the Cathedral, the Parliament, the central bank, various public institutions, grandiose bridges, and the pleasant view of the historical sights of Buda across the river, characterize the district. Restaurants, bars, pedestrian shopping areas, and beautifully maintained public parks make the district especially attractive. Most of the characteristic art-deco / art-nouveau and gentry buildings are renovated, which makes real estate especially expensive, a frequent choice of Hungarian celebrities.
It is the dream of every investor to purchase a low-priced unrenovated classic apartment here and convert it into an attractive rental property for the business and foreign community. Capital appreciation is relatively stronger as the number of properties available in this district is limited (19,180 apartments in all), with the most exclusive properties overlooking the Danube River. The Danube promenade is a World Heritage Site and many buildings in the district are listed monuments.
There are 836 residential buildings in the district, 93.5% of them were built before 1944. The average number of apartments per building is 23.5. The average number of large rooms, including the living room, is 2 per apartment, with the typical square meter size being 68.5 m2. An estimated 13.3% of the apartments are rented.
The busy roads which form the borders of the district are not recommended; Szent Istvan korut, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky ut, Karoly korut, Muzeum korut, and Vamhaz korut are too noisy for residential property. The district is divided into sections at the bridges (Lanchid and Erzsebet hid, that is Chain Bridge and Elisabeth Bridge, respectively), the northern, mid- and southern sections, where the dividing main streets (Jozsef Attila u., Szabad Sajto u., Kossuth Lajos u.) are also to be avoided for investment property.
The northern section of District 5 consists of three parts, from north to south: 1) The quiet streets (Balaton u, Stollar u., Falk Miksa u., Nagy Ignac u.) north of Alkotmany u., where there are not as many places for dining and entertainment. 2) The area around the Parliament Building is the government district with ministry buildings, public institutions, the High Court. The streets around Szabadsag ter are also known as the bank district. This is the hub of the top-paying jobs. 3) The most popular streets for tenants & investors are those south of the beautiful square Szabadsag ter (Hercegprimas u., Sas u., Oktober 6. u.) around the Cathedral (Basilica), with recently-pedestrianized streets attracting pleasant restaurants & bars.
The middle section of District 5, between Chain Bridge and Erzsebet Bridge, is the chief tourist area with the stunning Danube Promenade, luxury hotels, famous restaurants, the world's finest shopping brands. Vaci utca and the surrounding streets and squares form the core of the pedestrian zone with the famous Fashion Street leading to Budapest's central square, Deak ter, the only point where the 3 metro lines of the city cross. Therefore Deak ter is the first square people coming to the city learn about. Those who don't mind the constant tourist buzz are happy to rent in this area, it is generally considered to be a very attractive and pleasant part of town.
The southern part of the district is not as popular. Kossuth Lajos u. off Erzsebet Bridge, leading to Astoria Square is the main thoroughfare of Budapest connecting east and west; this is the point where the motorways from Lake Balaton and Vienna in the west are linked to the large residential areas of Pest and the main motorway leading east, so there is a constant flow of traffic, noise, and air-pollution. The streets south of Szabad Sajto - Kossuth Lajos are narrow, the buildings are older, there are no significant public institutions or work places here and the neighborhood is generally lower-income than in the northern parts. The pedestrian street Vaci utca (referred to as "new Vaci utca") which leads to the Market Hall (Vasarcsarnok) in the south is the most significant investment area for buy-to-let apartments. Another point of attraction is the streets around the square Kalvin ter, where foreign university students prefer to rent.
In summary, the middle and northern sections of District 5 are and will always be a prime location in Budapest. Since location is the primary factor in real estate investments, the best deals are made when one can enter the market relatively low, buying something unrenovated where the value can be further increased creatively. District 5 is the benchmark district, which projects the standard and the future of the Budapest property market.
Andras Patkai www.ceinvest.hu

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