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Can the Pound stay strong when UK budget hits this week?

It’s been a good week for the Pound which is up to a mid market rate of just above 1.20 on the Euro and 1.58 on the US Dollar. Property investors needing to convert Sterling into another currency should consider whether they’d like to fix current exchange rates for any upcoming transfers. The UK currency has grown by 1.08 percent on the US Dollar and 0.68 percent on the Euro over the past seven days, as well as hitting a ten week high on a basket of currencies, and an even stronger nine month high on the Japanese Yen.

This position is precarious however - and was largely due to negative data in the US, rather than signs that the UK economy is picking up. US inflation data at the end of the week was particularly weak and helped to give the Pound a boost. This counter-acted some of the weak UK data that was released last week such as unemployment figures released on Wednesday that stayed at a thirteen year high. Fitch Ratings Agency also put the UK’s prized AAA credit rating on negative outlook, meaning that there could be a potential downgrade. All of this is likely to ensure that fiscal policy in the UK remains tight.

Whether this is the case, shall be revealed in the Chancellor’s budget statement on Wednesday. The budget will be the key event of the week with currency investors looking for signs about whether the Bank of England will need to provide further stimulus to the economy by introducing more quantitative easing. It is likely that the Chancellor will keep fiscal policy tight to ensure that Britain does not lose its prized top-grade rating. If it seems that this is the case and that interest rates will be kept on hold for much longer, there is a chance that Sterling could weaken.

Other key events that may affect exchange rates this week include UK house prices on Monday, UK inflation and retail data on Tuesday and the Bank of England minutes on Wednesday morning. With all this coming before the budget, it could be a volatile week ahead. To discuss how any of this may affect any upcoming currency transfers and the value of your property purchase or sale in relation to the foreign exchange, please just get in touch.

Currency Solutions

For further advice on how to save thousands on your property purchase compared to the bank, protect yourself from currency movements or set up regular mortgage transfers, get in touch with the dedicated Property Secrets currency specialist: Nigel Hodges of Currency Solutions on +44 (0) 207 740 0000 or by clicking HERE to leave an enquiry.

POSTED BY NIGEL HODGES ON MON 19TH MARCH AT 10:05 GMT
TAGS: UK Economic News, uk budget, Financing & Mortgages, Currency Solutions

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Financing &

Budget and Bank of England Minutes Move The Pound Down

Sterling rates against the US Dollar have been very strong over the past few weeks and this has continued this week with the Pound reaching some of the highest levels in a year against the US currency. For anyone purchasing American property investments this is therefore great news. If you need to transfer money to the US in the future, don’t forget that you can use a forward contract to book today’s rate for a future deal. Feel free to speak to me with your queries on this.

The story against the Euro has been quite different which is unfortunate news for all of you who send money over from the UK to maintain properties in Europe or are indeed purchasing property there. Due to the fact that an interest rate rise is still expected to occur in Europe much sooner than in the UK (as soon as next month in Europe) the Euro has steadily strengthened on the Pound with us dropping down to inter-bank levels at worst of around 1.145.

This looked set to change yesterday when UK inflation levels came in soaring at 4.4 percent. This gave Sterling some renewed strength as this suggested that the inflationary pressure on the economy may force the Bank of England to raise interest rates sooner. This was quickly dampened today however when the Bank of England minutes from March were released which showed that no more members of the policy committee voted for an interest rate rise. This afternoon’s UK budget has also not helped the currency to strengthen. There has been some volatility throughout the afternoon with the Pound making further mild losses as markets digest the information included in the budget. The instant reaction suggests that despite targeted moves to promote growth in the weakest areas with measures such as scrapping the fuel duty rise and help for first time buyers, currency markets have not been encouraged enough to begin flowing of funds into Sterling.

Anyone who needs a Sterling transfer to Euros is best advised to speak to me at Currency Solutions to discuss target rates and protecting yourself from volatility. If you have Euros to bring back into Sterling, then now is a great time to book the transfer and take advantage of the rates.

Currency Solutions

For further advice or how to save thousands on your property purchase compared to the bank, protect yourself from currency movements or set up regular mortgage transfers, get in touch with the dedicated Property Secrets currency specialist: Nigel Hodges of Currency Solutions on +44 (0) 20 7740 0000 or by clicking HERE to leave an enquiry.

POSTED BY NIGEL HODGES ON WED 23RD MARCH AT 16:54 GMT
TAGS: UK Economic News, uk budget, pound, Global Economic News, Euro, dollar


Nigel Hodges

Nigel Hodges

Nigel is our resident foreign exchange expert with over 8 years in the industry working with Currency Solutions since its inception in 2003.

Helping hundreds of Property Secrets clients past & present, Nigel’s expert knowledge & personal service have seen his clients return time and time again.


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