It’s been a good week for the Pound which is up to a mid market rate of just above 1.20 on the Euro and 1.58 on the US Dollar. Property investors needing to convert Sterling into another currency should consider whether they’d like to fix current exchange rates for any upcoming transfers. The UK currency has grown by 1.08 percent on the US Dollar and 0.68 percent on the Euro over the past seven days, as well as hitting a ten week high on a basket of currencies, and an even stronger nine month high on the Japanese Yen.
This position is precarious however - and was largely due to negative data in the US, rather than signs that the UK economy is picking up. US inflation data at the end of the week was particularly weak and helped to give the Pound a boost. This counter-acted some of the weak UK data that was released last week such as unemployment figures released on Wednesday that stayed at a thirteen year high. Fitch Ratings Agency also put the UK’s prized AAA credit rating on negative outlook, meaning that there could be a potential downgrade. All of this is likely to ensure that fiscal policy in the UK remains tight.
Whether this is the case, shall be revealed in the Chancellor’s budget statement on Wednesday. The budget will be the key event of the week with currency investors looking for signs about whether the Bank of England will need to provide further stimulus to the economy by introducing more quantitative easing. It is likely that the Chancellor will keep fiscal policy tight to ensure that Britain does not lose its prized top-grade rating. If it seems that this is the case and that interest rates will be kept on hold for much longer, there is a chance that Sterling could weaken.
Other key events that may affect exchange rates this week include UK house prices on Monday, UK inflation and retail data on Tuesday and the Bank of England minutes on Wednesday morning. With all this coming before the budget, it could be a volatile week ahead. To discuss how any of this may affect any upcoming currency transfers and the value of your property purchase or sale in relation to the foreign exchange, please just get in touch.

For further advice on how to save thousands on your property purchase compared to the bank, protect yourself from currency movements or set up regular mortgage transfers, get in touch with the dedicated Property Secrets currency specialist: Nigel Hodges of Currency Solutions on +44 (0) 207 740 0000 or by clicking HERE to leave an enquiry.
|