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Scottish mortgage market takes a hammering

Council of Mortgage Lenders data reveal just how much of a pounding the Scottish mortgage market has taken. Lending fell in Q1 of 2009 by 31 per cent against the previous quarter and by 52 per cent against the same period a year earlier.

There were 7,600 mortgages advanced in Scotland in Q1, down from 11,600 in the previous quarter.

Across the UK, mortgage lending in the first quarter was down 25% from the previous quarter and 44% from Q1, 2008.

The CML points out that the Scottish housing market appears to be lagging behind the rest of the UK. In coming quarters it expects activity in Scotland to stabilise at low levels as seen across the UK as a whole.

Scotland accounted for around 10% of the total number of UK house purchase loans, still a little above the long term average (9%).

The fall in lending was fairly evenly distributed across borrower types. Loans to Scottish first-time buyers fell by 33% from the previous quarter and home movers fell by 36%.

Lenders have tightened lending criteria further across the UK in response to the worsening economic outlook and funding constraints.

Scottish first-time buyers typically needed a deposit of 25% in the first quarter - equal to around £26,000. A year earlier, first-time buyers typically required a 12% deposit - equal to around £14,000. This significant up-front requirement means that only the most affluent borrowers, or those with help from family, are able to enter the market.

The tightening in loan-to-value criteria also affected home movers, but to a lesser extent. Scottish home movers typically had a 29% deposit, compared with 26% in the same quarter a year ago.

Income multiples have also tightened, first-time buyers typically borrowed 2.74 times their income, compared with 2.8 in the previous quarter. Home movers typically borrowed 2.51 times their income, compared with 2.63 in the previous quarter.

For those who can obtain credit, however, affordability is becoming significantly better. Big cuts in interest rates mean that mortgage payments now consume 14.6% of a typical first-time buyer's income, down from 16.9% in the previous quarter and 18% a year ago.

Home movers, typically spent 11.6% of their income on interest payments, compared to 14.7% in the previous quarter.

There were 12,000 remortgage loans advanced in Scotland in the first quarter, a 24% decline from the previous quarter.

This is now the ninth consecutive quarter of zero or negative growth, and the pattern and extent of the decline broadly echoes the wider UK picture as borrowers have less of an imperative to refinance in a low interest rate environment.

CML Policy consultant, Kennedy Foster said: "Scotland has lagged behind the UK throughout the decline and as a result may continue to do so when the recovery begins. We expect the pace of decline in lending volumes to slow in coming months and flatten out as we have seen elsewhere in the UK."

POSTED BY ROBIN BOWMAN ON WED 27TH MAY AT 10:34 GMT
TAGS: UK Property


Nigel Hodges

Nigel Hodges is the face of Currency Solutions and our expert writer on finance. Working closely with Property Secrets for a number of years now, Nigel's expert knowledge in foreign exchange has seen his clients return time and again.

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