http: / /diaryofapropertybear .blogspot .com /2008 /06 /loss -of -wealth -calculator .html
Explained far better than I could have done, about how the figures we read about in the papers are sooo misleading.
Consider the national average LTV is 30% (that figure doesnt include home owner loans - just mortgages), and it is why this crash is going to hurt the overleveraged BTL invester harder than most. If you have 70% or more LTV then you should be VERY afraid. Its those people who dont understand the above - the foolish BTL'er that will lose their shirt - and why the smart BTL'er has already sold up.
It will be at least 5 yrs until prices reach 2007 levels once more ..... can you / should you hold on to a 0% performing or worse investment (considering prices will eventually rebound) for 5 yrs in a time of increasing taxes and bills - in a time of recession as people lose their jobs ..... rents will have to fall (in real terms taking into account inflation - as the value of money falls, that £700 rent you get is worth less).
Rents have already started to fall ("not in my area" I hear you protest - not yet maybe) ..... 7-9% the most recent figures suggest. So the myth that rents go up during crash times has been exploded. Thus BTL owners will sell up adding to the house price crash.
Its all about the amount of debt this time around.
WAKE UP!!!
Check out that table on the link above.
Now run along and redo your calcuations.
Forum Home » The real cost of leverage in a house price crash
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| Richard (PRO Member) | The real cost of leverage in a house price crash | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Posted: Jun 11 08 07:10 Total Posts: 95 Users Rating: |
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| James (PRO Member) | RE: The real cost of leverage in a house price crash | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Posted: Jun 11 08 08:13 Total Posts: 41 Users Rating: |
Richard
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| Richard (PRO Member) | RE: The real cost of leverage in a house price crash | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Posted: Jun 11 08 08:23 Total Posts: 95 Users Rating: |
The result of being ignored and patronised by BTL investors who think they are invincible. A year ago - two years, I posted out of concern for my fellow investors but time has worn me down, Ive had to put up for it for several years now.
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| James (PRO Member) | RE: The real cost of leverage in a house price crash | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Posted: Jun 11 08 08:39 Total Posts: 41 Users Rating: |
sounds like the story of the kid bullied at school who now needs to go through therapy...!
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| Richard (PRO Member) | RE: The real cost of leverage in a house price crash | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Posted: Jun 11 08 08:55 Total Posts: 95 Users Rating: |
No matter how I present it the facts remain ....... but I will make more of a effort if I post again.
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| chiefjuju (PRO Member) | RE: The real cost of leverage in a house price crash | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Posted: Jun 12 08 09:01 Total Posts: 28 Users Rating: |
Keep it coming Richard. I've agreed with your comments for 2 years now and am in the process of deleveraging myself.
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